NFL Pick em Pool Picks Week 2 Expert tip

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Despite several big upsets last week, the Don Sutton Jersey experts from PoolGenius were on fire with their recommendations in this column. They made cases for why the underdog Giants, Vikings, and Browns and favorite Dolphins had more value than the public was giving them credit for. Sure enough, all came through with big Ws. Let's try to keep the good times rolling by looking at five Week 2 NFL picks that could give you an edge to win an NFL pick 'em pool or confidence pool in 2022.Week 2 is commonly referred to as "Overreaction Week." It usually presents plenty of opportunities to make great value picks where the public is too high or too low on a team based on its outcome in the opening week.PoolGenius is the only site that provides customized picks that maximize your edge in football pools. Check out their , , and .For a limited time, PoolGenius is also offering a free trial to Sporting News readers.FREE TRIAL: How we identify NFL Week 2 value picks Making good predictions is only part of the story when it comes to maximizing your edge in football picks pools. You also need to consider how your opponents are expected to pick each game. After all, you can only rise in the standings if you score points that your opponents mi s. Two general strategies can help achieve that goal:Look for unpopular picks that might be worth an educated gambleAvoid trendy upset picks that aren't worth the riskThe picks listed below provide some of the best opportunities to differentiate your Week 2 picks by taking on little or no additional risk. However, that doesn't mean you should pick all of them -- the upset Walker Buehler Jersey picks especially. The best specific combination of Week 2 picks for your football pool depends on things like its size, rules, and prize structure. (To learn why, check out our free articles about , or just use our Football Pick 'em Picks product to get our Week 2 pick recommendations for your pool.)Note: New England Patriots at Pittsburgh SteelersPoint Spread: -2.0Pick Popularity: 24%Category: Value favoriteThe Patriots have continued to move up in the betting markets, from a one-point to a two-point favorite. Meanwhile, the public is all over Pittsburgh in this game, treating them like a larger favorite when the Steelers are actually an underdog.Yes, the Patriots struggled in Week 1 and the Steelers won, but Pittsburgh was horrific on offense with quarterback Mitchell Trubisky under center. It nearly lost a game in which it was plus-five in turnovers, and Cincinnati repeatedly mi sed kicks because its snapper got hurt. Trubisky averaged only 5.1 yards per pa s attempt, while RB Najee Harris suffered a foot injury, although he says he plans to suit up against the Patriots.The Steelers beat the Bengals because the Pittsburgh defense generated so many big plays. However, reigning Defensive Player of the Year T.J. Watt is now out with a torn pectoral that he suffered late in the win over Cincinnati.There are lots of reasons to think the Steelers are not as good as their win over the Bengals suggests. You are getting a ton of value here with the public all over the underdog.WEEK 2 DFS LINEUPS: | | San Francisco 49ers vs. Seattle SeahawksPoint Spread: -9.5Pick Popularity: 79%Category: Big value favoriteGetting even a slight value favorite with win odds of 80 percent is virtually unheard of in pick 'em contests, but thats what we have this week. For some perspective, nearly as many people are picking an outright underdog (Pittsburgh) to win this week as are picking the 49ers (almost a double-digit favorite) at home.Seattle is yet another example of the prime-time phenomenon. The Seahawks beat the Broncos in Ru sell Wilsons hotly anticipated return to Seattle on Monday Night Football, while San Francisco lost the opener with Trey Lance at QB, mustering just 10 points in a monsoon in Chicago. According to our models, the 49ers have the fourth-highest win odds this week, but nine teams are being picked at a higher rate than they are.In short, Justin Turner Jersey the public is far too willing to pick an upset here based on last weeks scores. The 49ers outgained the Bears 331 yards to 204 yards last week, but San Francisco made a few untimely turnovers and failed to stop the Bears on the few drives during which Chicago actually mustered any offense. Seattle, meanwhile, was outgained 432 yards to 267 yards, but it won because the Broncos fumbled twice on the goal line and repeatedly blew opportunities.Over time, you will maximize your results if you pick the teams that have higher net yardage margins and pick against the teams that dont.Football Picks From TeamRankings: | | New York Jets at Cleveland Brown sPoint Spread: -5.5Pick Popularity: 5%Category: Value upset gamble in weekly contestsIf you're looking for a bigger upset to take in weekly prize contests, especially larger ones, the Jets are your high-leverage play this week. If you just looked at the scores last week compared to expectations, you can see why the public is overreacting here.The Jets were the one Will Smith Jersey big underdog that lost comfortably in Week 1. The final score was Baltimore 24-9, but dig a little deeper and the game was a lot closer than the score would suggest.Ravens QB Lamar Jackson hit two big third-down pa ses for scores. Meanwhile, Jets QB Joe Flacco threw a key interception when his receiver slipped. New York actually gained 104 more yards than Baltimore, but a few big plays swung the score.One person, meanwhile, is not very likely to hit a 50-plus-yard bomb in this game. That would be Browns QB Jacoby Bri sett, who is the very definition of a game manager. Bri sett averaged 4.3 yards per attempt in the win over Custom Jersey the Panthers in Week 1 and averaged only 5.7 yards per attempt last year while playing for Miami.The Jets have a better chance to win this game than the public thinks. The Browns are not good at pa sing or creating big plays in the air.WEEK 2 FANTASY PPR RANKINGS: | | | | | New Orleans Saints vs. Tampa Bay BuccaneersPoint Spread: +2.5Popularity: 21%Category: Value upset gamble in weekly contestsThe Saints are only a slight underdog at home against Tampa Bay, but the public is picking the Bucs heavily coming off their big Sunday night win in prime time. As we also see with Seattle, you can usually find value opposite the prime-time winners from the week before.No team has frustrated Tom Brady more in recent years than the Saints, which is reflected in this betting line. The Bucs are just 1-4 against New Orleans with Brady at QB and have averaged just 16.6 points in those five games.Given that you can take a small underdog here at low popularity, the Saints present a compelling value gamble to consider.MORE POOLGENIUS: |